Category Archives: Weather Blog

Thoughts and technical discussion for January 6-9th Winter Storm Threat

Before all else we need to stress that there has been and continues to be an extremely high volatility in medium and long range forecasting. We are entering into a new pattern which will occur tomorrow (Wednesday) and guidance is struggling to find a medium. Lets dive into these potential systems. Going back to late last…
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**UPDATE** Winter Storm System 29 December

28 December update: The storm system and associated 500mb shortwave are beginning to take shape and rapidly move over the mid Atlantic states this tonight into tomorrow morning.  Below is a current (1400hr 28DEC) of the 500mb map and associated shortwave. As the low pressure system moves NNE another low pressure system will develop of…
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End of year system for 29th to the 30th, first look.

Synopsis: A storm system is currently moving on shore at the Pacific Northwest and a 500mb shortwave will begin to develop in the lower Mississippi river valley. Preliminary guidance will allow a trough axis to form and soon to turn negative axis. An upper low will push off the coast and where we are thinking would…
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UPDATE: Final Call/Synopsis for 17 December

UPDATES: CURRENT OBSERVATIONS: Going over observations there are couple things we are noticing. First, (pictured below) areas of precipitation in south central Pennsylvania. While not reaching the ground this tells us a couple of things; Models weren't picking up on this, virga is aiding further precipitative cooling, and there is an indication of an earlier…
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